Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.124920 0.134025 0.143462 0.153979 0.165380 0.177374 0.190959
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.107594 0.120649 0.134869 0.151539 0.170589 0.191725 0.217020
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.097448 0.112553 0.129564 0.150205 0.174663 0.202822 0.237850
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.088384 0.104501 0.123139 0.146388 0.174750 0.208401 0.251608
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.082069 0.099008 0.119052 0.144659 0.176706 0.215746 0.267302
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.077785 0.095554 0.117018 0.145043 0.180939 0.225741 0.286459
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.072805 0.090863 0.113074 0.142635 0.181285 0.230575 0.298944
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.069105 0.087524 0.110566 0.141786 0.183405 0.237572 0.314384
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.068031 0.087445 0.112147 0.146226 0.192558 0.254122 0.343419
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.064961 0.084570 0.109889 0.145373 0.194447 0.260853 0.359108
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.062102 0.081819 0.107628 0.144337 0.195933 0.266965 0.374076
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.058866 0.078399 0.104290 0.141614 0.194858 0.269329 0.383609
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.057612 0.077690 0.104690 0.144224 0.201598 0.283340 0.411374
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.054794 0.074701 0.101814 0.142063 0.201369 0.287263 0.424283
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.052496 0.072330 0.099676 0.140818 0.202347 0.292905 0.439989
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.049645 0.069047 0.096092 0.137270 0.199678 0.292866 0.446701
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.047581 0.066807 0.093904 0.135663 0.199813 0.297022 0.460186
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.046232 0.065544 0.093070 0.136020 0.202922 0.305853 0.481623
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.044230 0.063240 0.090608 0.133781 0.201862 0.308031 0.492134
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.042749 0.061653 0.089141 0.132991 0.203014 0.313729 0.508770
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.042665 0.062146 0.090807 0.137120 0.212162 0.332741 0.549117
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.041310 0.060659 0.089397 0.136326 0.213280 0.338573 0.566857
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.039986 0.059172 0.087927 0.135363 0.214050 0.343818 0.583779